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<div style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 561px; height: 159px;" alt="" src="img/UkraineDestruction1.jpg"> 
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;"> 
<big><big> Ukraine Nuclear Risk:  US Opinion Poll </big></big> 
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">Full results 4/11/2022 <a href="https://www.surveymonkey.com/results/SM-zbn2_2BbbMi7ZtETWPIF3tZQ_3D_3D/" target="_blank">click here</a> 
Conducted for ShulerResearch by Greg Ling, market research specialist 
500 US consumer samples -- Margin of error 4% 
You can participate in a separately tallied survey <a href="https://forms.gle/ST7YzwPUY9xugfMm8" target="_blank">here</a> 

<div style="text-align: left;">Discussion / Highlights: 
</div>
</div>
 
Q1 - Suggests 55% would not endure nuclear war for any
country but their own. However, Q3 which asks about the type of
response and offers "proportional" and non-nuclear alternatives has
only 15% taking the "my country only" position. 
 
Q2 - What is the risk Russia would attack US with nukes if it loses Donbas or Crimea? 
<div style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 425px; height: 238px;" alt="" src="img/Lose%20Donbas%20or%20Crimea.jpg"> 
<div style="text-align: left;"> 
Q3 - What type of response would you prefer: 

<div style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 501px; height: 375px;" alt="" src="img/type%20of%20response.jpg"> 
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: left;"> 
Q3 - Is the greater risk country-by-country takeovers by nuclear autocracies, or confronting and stopping Russia and Putin now? 

<div style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 446px; height: 232px;" alt="" src="img/greater%20risk.jpg"> 
<div style="text-align: left;">Analysis: 
If an influencer or politician poses question 1 without qualifying that
the action is low risk (Q2), that proportional and non-nuclear
responses are available (Q3) or that there is a greater risk from not
confronting the opponent (Q4) then a person may give an answer that is
not a genuine reflection of their full judgment.  They may even be
induced to voting in an irrational manner.  Always consider what
influencers and politicians are "leaving out."  
 
A second interesting point is that right wing or "Trump" Republicans,
and Fox News, will typically play up the fear of nuclear war (tending
toward a Q1 statement of the problem, though not necessarily Trump
himself who casts things in terms of his relationship with a war
criminal leader of Russia).  And President Biden uses the Q1
strategy also, "Direct conflict between NATO and Russia would be World
War 3" - <a href="https://thehill.com/policy/international/597842-biden-direct-conflict-between-nato-and-russia-would-be-world-war-iii/" target="_blank">The Hill</a> March 11, 2022. 
 
Given that 65%  view continued takeovers as higher risk, and 75%
view nuclear escalation in the event of Russia being kicked entirely
out of Ukraine as low to very low, and 60% (at right) favor increased
or direct support for Ukraine, these two political positions being the
same doesn't make sense.  Ukraine seems to have formed a new
middle coalition in American politics between moderate Democrats and
Republicans.  That is a hopeful sign.  Though it might not be
in time to help Ukraine. Another option on Q2 reveals that even if NATO
causes loss of Russian ships and missile launchers directly, risk of
nuclear escalation is still in the very low to medium range. 

<div style="text-align: center;"><img style="width: 458px; height: 240px;" alt="" src="img/lost%20to%20NATO.jpg"> 
</div>
Risk from Continued War: The
most discussed risks are of a response to NATO/US actions.  But
greater risks may occur over time due to accidental intrusion into NATO
space, deliberate disruption of supplies in NATO space, or a war of
opportunity conducted by Serbia or China while the US is occupied in
Ukraine. Stopping the war more quickly may minimize risk.  For a
full discussion see <a href="https://shulerresearch.wordpress.com/2022/04/11/larger-war-looming-if-not-stopped-soon/" target="_blank">Larger War Looming If Not Stopped Soon.</a> If you are moved to express your opinion, whatever it is, there are links there to email, call or write US representatives. 
</div>
 
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">Important
and Recent Papers 
</div>
 
<a href="https://www.scirp.org/journal/paperinformation?paperid=122128" target="_blank">Space-Time Diagrams Lead to False Paradoxes </a> Cite as Shuler,
R. (2022) Space-Time Diagrams Lead to False Paradoxes. Journal of
Applied Mathematics and Physics, 10, 3804-3813. doi:
10.4236/jamp.2022.1012252.  This paper provides a clear
analysis of how hypothetical concepts not allowed in Special Relativity
should be treated and exposes hidden assumptions in space-time diagrams
used on YouTube, where some prominent physicists have taken to
publishing on popular topics that may not survive peer review. Such
casual graphical treatment conceals the fact that space-time diagrams
provide only for the Einstein synchronization convention for all
observers, not the many other valid synchronization protocols, and also
obscure that relativity’s equality of reference frames is rebutted if
concepts outside relativity, such as instant communication, are
introduced. These omissions of unconscious assumptions have been used
to “prove” the existence of block time and time travel or time
paradoxes. We will show the contradictory assumptions amount to
assuming time travel, rather than the more mundane need to adjust
synchronization conventions. We further show a new result that the use
of the space-time diagrams as proposed by these “explainers” leads to
discontinuities in which a differential change in communication speed
leads to a sudden jump from present to long-past arrival time, strongly
suggesting invalidity of the method. 
 
<a style="font-weight: bold;" href="https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202012.0689/v4" target="_blank">Deleterious Behaviorally Transmitted Traits in Equilibrium</a> (preprint -
preprints.org, Jan.
2021) 
This paper analyzes equilibrium between
gene-meme and meme-meme competing propagators and consider whether a
meme is linked to reproduction (e.g. vertical culture transmission), or
not. We employ a genetic component and combined meme induced fitness
components for hosts, while memes have replication factors to
distinguish from what's good for the host (fitness). 
 
<a target="_blank" style="font-weight: bold;" class="title" id="title" href="https://www.scirp.org/journal/paperinformation.aspx?paperid=111473">Emergence of Objective Reality in an Irreversible Friend thought Experiment</a><a target="_blank" style="font-weight: bold;" class="title" id="title" href="https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202012.0566/v3"> </a>Cite as Shuler, R.L. (2021) Emergence of Objective Reality in an
Irreversible Friend Thought Experiment, Journal
of Applied Mathematics and Physics, 9(8),
Aug. DOI: 10.4236/jamp.2021.98128<o:p></o:p> 
Recently some photon models of a Wigner's friend
experiment have led investigators to suggest objective reality does not
exist, and to publish non-academic articles with such claims. The
public is not equipped to evaluate the severe limitations of these
experiments. This paper analyzes the issues with statements about
objective reality, defining what it means to participants as opposed to
QM researchers, and proposing more difficult thought experiments that
explicitly test for objectivity from the participant standpoint. 
 
<a href="https://doi.org/10.4236/ojepi.2020.103024" target="_blank">Partial
Unlock for COVID-19-Like Epidemics Can Save 1 - 3 Million Lives
Worldwide</a> (Open Journal
of Epidemiology, Vol.10 No.3, August 2020, DOI:
10.4236/ojepi.2020.103024) A
large percentage of deaths in an epidemic or pandemic can be due to
overshoot of population (herd) immunity, either from the initial peak
or from planned or unplanned exit from lockdown or social distancing
conditions. We study partial unlock or reopening interaction with
seasonal effects in a managed epidemic to quantify overshoot effects on
small and large unlock steps and discover robust strategies for
reducing overshoot. 
 
<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844019366174" target="_blank">Wealth-relative
effects in cooperation games</a> (J. Heliyon, 5, 12, Dec. 2019) This
paper investigates cooperation games in which poor agents do not
benefit from cooperation with wealthy agents. They instead benefit from
considering wealth relative to decision payoffs of fitness or wealth. 
 
<a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844015302322" target="_blank">Wealth
inhomogeneity applied to crash rate theory</a> (<a style="font-style: italic;" href="http://www.heliyon.com/" target="_blank">J.Heliyon, 1,
3, Nov 2015</a>)
- A
crash rate theory based on corporate economic utility maximization is
applied to individual behavior in U.S. and German motorway death rates,
by using wealth inhomogeneity data in ten-percentile bins to account
for variations of utility maximization in the population. 
 
<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1140/epjp/i2018-11983-2" target="_blank">A family of metric gravities</a> With a
new exact Schwarzschild method, a local space-time relation,
strong-field verification targets, and the ability to promote field
gravities to full metricity (The
European Physical Journal Plus, 133: 158, April 2018) The
goal of this paper is to take a completely fresh approach to metric
gravity, in which the metric principle is strictly adhered to but its
properties in local space-time are derived from conservation
principles, not inferred from a global field equation. 
 
<a href="../../PAPERS/WEB/2018%20Map%20Theorem.pdf" target="_blank">Entropy-Like State Counting Leads to Human Readable
Four Color Map Theorem Proof</a> (Pure
and Applied Mathematics Journal. Vol.
7, No. 3, 2018, pp.
37-44. <a href="http://www.sciencepublishinggroup.com/journal/paperinfo?journalid=141&doi=10.11648/j.pamj.20180703.12" target="_blank">doi: 10.11648/j.pamj.20180703.12</a>) The
problem of how many colors are required for a planar
map has been used as a focal point for discussions of the limits of
human direct
understanding vs. automated methods. It is important to continue to
investigate
until it is convincingly proved map coloration is an exemplary
irreducible problem
or until it is reduced. Meanwhile a new way of thinking about surfaces
which hide
N-dimensional volumes has arisen in physics employing entropy and the
holographic
principle. In this paper we define coloration entropy or flexibility as
a count
of the possible distinct colorations of a map (planar graph), and show
how a guaranteed
minimum coloration flexibility changes based on additions at a boundary
of the map. 
 
<a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://www.isaac-scientific.org/images/PaperPDF/AdAp_100024_2016122911150418453.pdf" target="_blank">Numerical Geodesic Approximation for
Theoretical and Experimental Light Bending Analysis</a> (Advances in Astrophysics, vol
2, no 1, pp 76-85, August 2016)  This
paper investigates a least-time (or fastest-path) two-point algorithm
for numerically propagating a light ray in a gravitational field using
anisotropic coordinate velocity and distant observer coordinates.
Rather
than imaging or ray tracing, the objective is to support analysis of
fundamentals and to be able to find null geodesics in arbitrary
metrics. 
 
<a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/895134">Common
pedagogical issues with de Broglie waves: moving double slits,
composite mass and clock synchronization</a> (Shuler,
R.L., "Common Pedagogical Issues with De Broglie Waves: Moving Double
Slits, Composite Mass, and Clock Synchronization," Physics Research
International, Vol. 2015
(2015). - <a href="http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/physri/2015/895134.pdf" target="_blank">direct link to PDF</a>)
- This
pedagogical paper suggests simple techniques for reference frame
independent analysis of a moving double slit electron interference
experiment, and a beat frequency heuristic for understanding de Broglie
waves of composite particles such as neutrons and atoms. 
 
<a href="../../PAPERS/WEB/2016-LeadingClocksLag.pdf" target="_blank">Leading Clocks Lag</a>
Phys. Ed., 51, 2 (2016) <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0031-9120/51/2/025005" target="_blank">http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0031-9120/51/2/025005</a>
- A new memory aid for teaching the relativity of
simultaneity
is given
that puts it on a par with "time dilation" and "length contraction" for
quick and easy problem visualization. 
 
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jmp.2014.512108" target="_blank">The
Twins-Clock Paradox History and Perspectives</a> - (Journal of Modern Physics, July 2014 <a style="font-style: italic;" href="http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jmp.2014.512108">DOI: </a><a onclick="SetNum(47747)" href="http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/jmp.2014.512108" target="_blank" onfocus="undefined">10.4236/jmp.2014.512108</a>)
- The twins or clock paradox has been a subject of
lively discussion and
occasional disagreement among both relativists and the public for over
100 years, and continues to attract physicists who
write papers giving new analyses or defending old ones, even though
many physicists now consider the matter only of educational
interest.  (Our
most popular paper with 5390 downloads!) 
 
<a target="_blank" style="font-weight: bold;" href="../../PAPERS/WEB/2014%20Bucket%20rev%2012-17-14.pdf">A Fresh
Spin on
Newton's Bucket</a> - (<a href="http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/0031-9120/50/1/88/meta">Published
version</a> in Physics Education vol. 50 no. 1 p. 88, 2015, short
illustrated
article suitable for high school or first semester physics students)
 An
introduction to
physics seems incomplete without the
thought experiment known as Newton's Bucket.  Doing
so also introduces the famous historical critique of Newton by Mach,
which inspired Einstein and spawned modern theories of gravity
and the
cosmos. 
</div>
 
</div>
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<div style="text-align: center; background-color: silver;"><a href="https://shulerresearch.wordpress.com/subscribe/"><big style="color: rgb(204, 0, 0);"></big></a><img style="width: 490px; height: 211px;" alt="civilian genocide victims with hands tied for execution in Bucha" src="img/Ukraine%20Bucha%20hands%20tied.jpg"> 
Civilian genocide victims in Bucha near Kyiv with hands tied for execution 
 
<big><big>Ukraine Support: US Opinion Poll</big></big> 
Full results 4/3/2022 <a href="https://www.surveymonkey.com/results/SM-k6EUGJ1o79ZnenvsM2fHZQ_3D_3D/" target="_blank">click here</a> 
Conducted for ShulerResearch by Greg Ling, market research specialist 
500 US consumer samples -- Margin of error 4% 
You can participate in a separately tallied survey <a href="https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLScxommFeoVfASdPQc6qraylV5rPYMRqKXkoBYkDjw_R50qH6w/viewform?usp=sf_link" target="_blank">here</a> 

<div style="text-align: left;">Discussion / Highlights: 
<ul>
<li>52% felt Ukraine was like Britain in ww2, 
34% like Checkoslavakia, which eventually wound up split.</li>
<li>60% favored arming Ukraine with jets or missiles, 
27% help refugees only.</li>
<li>57% favored forcing Russia to obey international norms, 
while a surprising 30% favored extending sanctions as an "economic war of democracies against autocracies".  Net 87% favored extending sanctions beyond end to current hostilities.</li>
<li>76% thought major war crimes had been committed by Russia, 
10% by Ukraine.  
18% thought US domestic issues were more important.  
26% thought there would be change in US policy until an election.</li>
<li style="font-weight: bold;">Asked about Donald Trump & Ukraine</li>
<ul>
<li>35% felt he'd arm Ukraine more aggressively</li>
<li>33% felt he'd pressure Ukraine to surrender</li>
<li>31% felt he'd only be concerned with getting dirt on Hunter Biden</li>
</ul>
<li style="font-weight: bold;">Asked which leader they most respected:</li>
<ul>
<li style="font-weight: bold;">48% for Zelensky</li>
<li style="font-weight: bold;">16% each for Morawiecki & Biden</li>
<li>5% for Kaja Kallas</li>
<li>4% for Putin</li>
<li>2% each for Scholz, Macron & Trump 
</li>
<li>0.5% ea. Ron Paul, Tom Cotton, Obama, Modi, Xi</li>
</ul>
</ul>
The Trump question is interesting because no matter your
preference, only 1/3rd of the US believes Trump would take the path you
prefer.  People are wildly undecided about Trump's real policy
intentions.  
 
From this survey at least, the US public favors stronger action by significantly more than the margin of error.  Political affiliation was not polled to avoid contaminating the survey with political feeling.  However, the paltry 18% that felt domestic issues were unimportant in comparison
does not seem to be reflected in media coverage and is a surprise. If
this stays on voters' minds, it could be a single-issue deciding factor
in May-June primaries, or even in fall elections. 
 
Based on all the results, and known divisions in the usually hawkish
Republican party, it seems likely bipartisan support for stronger
arming of Ukraine is high, possibly a majority in both parties. 
</div>
 
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<big></big> 
<div style="text-align: justify;"><big>Who
We Are </big>. . . 
<big> </big><big> 
<a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/robertshuler/"><img style="border: 0px solid ; width: 100px; height: 100px;" alt="" src="img/Robert.jpg" align="left" hspace="4" vspace="4"></a>Robert
Shuler about:  He is the author of over 50 peer reviewed
technical papers, a book on
Crash Rate Theory and two books on
economics.  He is retired from a 45 year career in advanced
projects and systems reliability at NASA and continues select areas of
research related to the future of society.  He lives in Texas most
of the time, likes to visit his wife's relatives in Siberia, and
publishes music arrangements.</big> 
 
<big><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/theodore-koukouvitis-53104658/"><img style="border: 0px solid ; width: 100px; height: 100px;" alt="" src="img/Theo.jpg" align="left" hspace="4" vspace="4"></a></big><big>Theo Koukouvitis about:
With thousands of published articles and dozens of eBooks that between
them command millions of daily views, I am one of the most prolific and
successful freelance writers active today. </big> 
<big> 
 
</big><big><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/civille-brown-67a91910/"><img style="border: 0px solid ; width: 100px; height: 100px;" alt="" src="img/Civille.jpg" align="left" hspace="4" vspace="4"></a></big><big>Civille O. Brown, MLS, about:
I am interested in how each person's unique talent, experience and life
situation leads them to different choices, and how to maximize each
person's potential.  According to evolutionary theory, there is no
progress or advancement of one over the other, we've all been here 3.5
billion years.  But the future can be predicted sometimes, and
knowing it changes it.  Then progress can be defined by a
combination of the individual desires and abilities relative to the
future environment.  Getting along in a common world does not mean
we all want to behave in the same way or seek the same things. 
"Everybody
is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb
a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid,"
wasn't really said by Einstein, but it sums up my approach to the study
of people.</big><big> 
 
</big><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/dyske/"><big><img style="border: 0px solid ; width: 100px; height: 100px;" alt="" src="img/Dyske.jpg" align="left" hspace="4" vspace="4"></big></a><big>Dyske Suematsu about:
I help small business owners leverage the power of the Internet to grow
their business. I have breathed and lived on the Internet for the past
20 years, and, therefore, have a good sense of how things evolve—what
works and what doesn’t. I can learn my clients’ business objectives,
provide actionable strategies, and manage the execution. </big>
</div>
 
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